Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 5.608950 6.399790 7.273266 8.311415 9.514042 10.866190 12.505589
2025-03-16 4.417967 5.409821 6.592852 8.114485 10.029180 12.370873 15.470536
2025-03-23 3.916084 5.052927 6.488861 8.449273 11.077009 14.506890 19.370779
2025-03-30 3.480133 4.682571 6.272998 8.552108 11.769516 16.201660 22.860289
2025-04-06 3.098782 4.319458 5.998272 8.505637 12.206705 17.549270 25.992091
2025-04-13 2.780070 3.996961 5.728941 8.412112 12.533186 18.737037 29.000212
2025-04-20 2.610477 3.864168 5.707306 8.663849 13.380864 20.775096 33.564179
2025-04-27 2.448701 3.722202 5.650713 8.844755 14.123053 22.714532 38.207392
2025-05-04 2.340292 3.648337 5.685859 9.165562 15.114243 25.157067 44.020787
2025-05-11 2.130690 3.393237 5.407516 8.938636 15.153116 25.979980 47.048396
2025-05-18 1.967981 3.198610 5.207432 8.818580 15.354657 27.094826 50.743200
2025-05-25 1.828199 3.029202 5.032661 8.721332 15.579160 28.263955 54.682421
2025-06-01 1.693142 2.858624 4.844500 8.587653 15.733209 29.339948 58.637155
2025-06-08 1.562027 2.684032 4.634231 8.392309 15.747971 30.146895 62.151142
2025-06-15 1.525353 2.672862 4.712181 8.740632 16.850642 33.230022 70.977801
2025-06-22 1.457025 2.598349 4.667549 8.847456 17.479783 35.417055 78.148442
2025-06-29 1.374122 2.490093 4.550582 8.799235 17.782296 36.946482 84.031982
2025-07-06 1.292404 2.377640 4.416192 8.702172 17.969052 38.242199 89.550550
2025-07-13 1.259597 2.355994 4.454881 8.963443 18.955997 41.436878 100.250296
2025-07-20 1.220349 2.318563 4.458924 9.151218 19.799396 44.405570 110.867047
2025-07-27 1.198578 2.313900 4.527855 9.484239 21.009101 48.390989 124.852623
2025-08-03 1.121236 2.191425 4.346095 9.248670 20.866358 49.073482 129.923300
2025-08-10 1.060365 2.098510 4.218951 9.124049 20.974820 50.394363 137.018379